Is making a seemingly futile contribution pointless, or potentially
praising? Individual, minimal-effecting contribution on a grand scale, seems useless,
considering 1 single portion out of a massive multitude is quite most often insignificant
and inconsequential. Mathematically, if 1 portion is 1 out of 99, there’s a 1%
chance any individual portion will have a deciding effect (under the
circumstance where the outcome ends up being 50 – 49), or more extremely, 1 of
1 million has a 0.0001% chance. Just as alternatively, 1 portion of 3 has a 33%
influence or chance of having a deciding effect. So from that perspective, it
seems reasonable that a minimal contribution is irrelevant.
But, -with further analysis- in the massively complex extents of this
world, that minimal contribution almost certainly also has some percentage
chance of accomplishing something beneficial, in a multitude of alternate ways.
So, mathematically considering the additional variable chances, granted- likely
to be all small percentages, would likely significantly increase the overall
accumulated percentage probability of that 1 portion having an influence or
deciding effect. This is perhaps difficult to understand in such generic,
theoretical, calculative terms (but in my mind almost anything can be
understood by bringing it back to its more generally, vastly applicable form
and viewed as a theoretically estimated equation), so an example in reality
might make it more plausibly understandable. A practical example could be; an
individual making a $10 donation, to a charity with a goal to raise $100 000.
Mathematically, dealing with the direct distinct variables, it seems there’s a
0.01% influence that 10 has on 100 000. So, why bother right?
If the grand scale perspective is taken into consideration, there is a
vast extent of alternative variables (virtually indistinguishable) with
potential additional benefit. In this example, a hypothetical, alternate positive
outcome could be perhaps someone else being influenced and inspired by your
donation, and in turn making their own donation (this on its own, virtually
doubling the percentage influence), with the additional even greater positive
outcome possibility, of that donation influencing another, and so on, with a
potential massive positive outcome, even if minimally probable. That is one
example off the top of my head, but there will typically be numerous plausible
ways the action in consideration gives an advantageous percentage probability
to a positive outcome.
Ultimately, mathematically any decision comes down to potential positive
effect weighed against potential negative effect. In estimation, these
potentials for considerable positive outcomes accumulate, and when
mathematically combined and averaged out to a percentage, outweigh the
potential for negative outcomes. Additionally, in reference to the example, the
$10 is mathematically less than 0.01% influential on your life (assuming you
will be in possession of more than $100 000 over the course of your life) as a
negative, so the positive still outweighs the negative. Though, this specific
point takes into perspective the weight ratio of importance and priority of you
compared to others, and an assumption of equality estimation (which is a whole
other topic to be analysed :)
Contribution in life can come in a massive variety of forms and
situations and will almost always be virtually impossible to weigh the
percentage chances of all aspects accurately, so rough estimation is likely
necessary to make the best decision. These different varieties of options of
contribution will likely come up in nearly every element of life, requiring an
option to choose, and if you’re consciously aware of the possibilities, a
decision to make. The potential for contribution may present itself in any circumstances
from; the distinct option of choosing to vote for the person you believe is
most worthy, rather than whom everyone else is voting for, to; the vaguer,
discrete possibility of choosing to recycle a bottle, rather than throwing it
the garbage. Whichever happens to be your current circumstance, keep in mind
that mathematically (besides generally, morally), if you want to play the
better odds, make your contribution.
No comments:
Post a Comment